Why Obama Missed Bretton Woods II. From Planet 2025. By Hazel Henderson.
Obama’s decision to skip the first summit of leaders of the G-20 in
Washington, November 15-16, 2008 reflected his understanding that the
world economic order has changed.
His emissaries, former secretary of
state Madeleine Albright and former Congressman Jim Leach of Iowa were
sent as observers. The new global players in the Group of 20, led by
Brazil, China, India, and many other now powerful industrializing
countries of the South will challenge Mr. Obama’s own call for change.
While
the Communiqué from the leaders was guarded and polite, it clearly
signaled a new economic order and launched a “Bretton Woods II
process,” with the next meeting scheduled for April 30, 2009 in London.
Agreements were reached, beginning with those on many needed reforms of
the global financial system and the crises its lack of oversight,
excessive risk-taking, leverage has caused. The ignorance of all
participants was evident concerning how globalizing and interlinking
all these 24/7 markets inevitably helped create chaos in the entire
system. While not naming the USA, the leaders blamed the crisis on
“some advanced countries” “whose policymakers, regulators and
supervisors did not adequately appreciate and address the risks
building up in financial markets.”
The European leaders were
concerned about new regulatory action to curb speculation, leverage,
hedge funds, private pools of capital and derivatives such as the some
$60 trillion of credit default swaps which played a key role in the
turmoil. Meanwhile, China, Brazil, India, Russia, South Africa and
other powerful members of the G-20 were also concerned with “a new
international financial order that is fair, just, inclusive and
orderly” as stated by China’s President Hu Jintao. These countries are
demanding fairer representation of voting power in the IMF, the World
Bank and the WTO so as to reflect the new global reality that the USA
is no longer the locomotive of the world economy. Indeed, most of
today’s global GDP growth (an inadequate measure) is, nevertheless, now
provided by China, India, Brazil and other emerging economies of the
South. For example, the USA, the world’s largest debtor, controls 17%
of the votes at the IMF, while China, the world’s largest creditor,
controls only 3.66%.
An important underlying issue is how
capitalism itself must evolve . The US-led model of economic growth, as
measured by money-denominated GDP, the so-called “Washington Consensus”
of free markets and trade, open capital accounts, floating currencies,
privatization, all dominated by mostly un-regulated global financial
markets, has now clearly broken down. China led the new debate by
calling its summit meeting in Beijing in late October, 2008, attended
by all the European countries, as well as the G-20 and other African
countries as well. The Bush administration disdain for such
multi-lateralism left the USA way behind the curve, not invited to such
important gatherings, including the Shanghai Cooperation Organization
which includes Asian and Central Asian countries, including Iran.
Meanwhile China has formed close alliances worldwide, particularly with
Europe, African countries and those in Latin America.
The new
demands for fairness include democratization of the World Bank and the
processes of the WTO. Demands for expanding the United Nations Security
Council to include permanent membership for Brazil, Japan, India and
important countries of the South, such as Indonesia and South Africa,
also include scrapping the veto still wielded by the old “permanent
five” victors of World War II.
All this is a rude awakening for
many in the USA, as well as the Bush administration which believed in
ignoring other countries’ interests and going it alone. Today, as the
USA finds itself embroiled in the worst domestic crisis since the
1930s, most US citizens now realize that we need the world, and indeed,
the global financial crisis which began on Wall Street now requires
global cooperation to solve. This is the true dimension of change that
President-elect Obama must now face.
As I pointed out in my
“Advice To Summiteers” in early October, reforming the un-regulated
global casino must be addressed promptly. The Communiqué from the
November 15-16, 2008 summit clearly cited increased cooperation between
nations as essential, particularly oversight of global banks and other
financial players. Cooperation is necessary to avoid
“beggar-thy-neighbor” policies trying to advantage any one country.
However,
no mention was made of the most urgent priority: to tackle the up to $2
trillion of daily currency trading, over 90% of which is speculation.
Bouncing currencies have led to much of the turbulence and excessive
volatility in world markets as “contagion” spreads in minutes in this
24/7 around-the-clock trading. A small 1% or less tax on all trades has
been advocated since the 1970s when it was proposed by economist James
Tobin and in 1989 by former US Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers, who
also attended the Washington summit.
Such
a currency-exchange tax would be simple to collect using a computerized
system which can be installed on trading screens, such as the Foreign
Exchange Transaction Reporting System (FXTRS). This system operates
like an electronic version of Wall Street’s venerable “uptick rule,”
enacted in 1934 but repealed during the Bush II administration. Today’s
Wall Street traders themselves are calling for its re-instatement to
curb naked short-selling. The FXTRS computerized “uptick rule”
gradually raises the basic 1% tax whenever a bear raid starts attacking
a weak currency. Such bear raids are rarely to “discipline” a country’s
policies, as traders claim, but rather to make quick profits. In the
transparent FXTRS system, traders selling falling currencies begin to
see that the rising tax is cascading into the country’s currency
stabilization fund and cutting into their gains. Seeing no further
profit, traders can voluntarily exit the market and search for some
other currency or arbitrage opportunity. The funds collected from such
currency exchange taxes would raise hundreds of billions of dollars,
which could, in turn, be directed to health, education, infrastructure
and other public goods. (See www.HazelHenderson.com click on FXTRS.)
Hopefully,
the April 30, 2009 meeting will take up such proposals and lead to the
rapid implementation of other Action steps to regulate financial
markets already agreed upon.
Additional steps must include:
*
Criminalizing tax avoidance and tax havens and countries that do not
comply with the International Financial Action Task Force
(www.fatf-safi.org )
* Harmonizing of all regulations and standards between countries to prevent regulatory and tax regime arbitrage
*
Repealing Basel II rules which allowed banks to assess their own risks,
the failure of which helped bring on the crisis. Raise capital adequacy
and reserve rations and reduce margins on all transactions.
The
800-pound elephant still not acknowledged is the need for monetary
reform of fractional reserve banking itself, which allows banks to
create most of a nation’s money-supply as debt – out of thin air.
Restoring the right of democratic nations to coin their currency
directly, as required in the US Constitution is now essential,
particularly in the USA, where debt is now crushing every sector and
the Federal Reserve along with the Treasury are now printing money in
clear sight of taxpayers. The American Monetary Institute has
introduced a bill in Congress to achieve the gradual change needed in
our banking system (www.monetary.org).
More fundamentally, the
failures of global monetary systems are rooted in the expansion of
human knowledge and innovation as we transition from the early
fossil-fueled Industrial Era to the cleaner technologies of the
information-rich Solar Age. Just as the gold standard failed to provide
enough “bandwidth” for all the growth, innovation and new communication
and transactions of the Industrial Age, so today’s money circuits
cannot provide enough bandwidth for the greatly expanded communications
and trading of today’s growing Information economy.
The
disruptive technologies rapidly displacing those now unsustainable,
polluting Industrial Age technologies have already overflowed the
existing money circuits and narrow central banking regimes. Money is
merely one form of information, and now the pure information-trading
platforms are providing the needed extra bandwidth for trading, e.g.
e-Bay, Craigslist, Freecycle and thousands of similar electronic
trading systems, cell phones, and local scrip “currencies” used to
match needs and resources and clear local markets starved of credit.
Wall Street’s single-minded focus on money led to its demise. Money was
equated with wealth and ignored all the other forms of wealth, from
human skills and ingenuity to the productive systems of nature in which
all economies are embedded. Money, like gold, will remain a useful
store of value and medium of exchange, but now as part of a new
broader, more inclusive regime dominated by pure, information-based
markets.
Hazel Henderson, author of Ethical Markets: Growing
The Green Economy (2006) is President of Ethical Markets Media, USA and
Brazil and co-creator with the Calvert Group of the Calvert-Henderson
Quality of Life Indicator www.Calvert-Henderson.com
Source: Ethical Markets - by Hazel Henderson